This round of refined oil price adjustment probability stranded after the market push up strength or narrowed
Recently, supported by OPEC's firm attitude to reduce production, the decline in crude oil inventories, the weakening of the US dollar and other good news, international crude oil continued to rebound sharply overnight. Boosted by this positive, the retail price adjustment of refined oil products is expected to turn from negative to positive.
As of January 10, on the 8th working day of this round, Zhongyu Information estimated that the crude oil change rate was 0.32, and the crude oil valuation was 55.283 US dollars/barrel, an increase of 0.176 US dollars/barrel from the benchmark price, and the corresponding range was increased by 25 yuan/ton. It is temporarily expected that the zero limit price of refined oil will not be adjusted at 24:00 on January 14.
Zhang Zhaoxin, a refined oil analyst at Zhuochuang Information, said in an interview with a reporter from the Securities Daily yesterday that the current round of refined oil retail price adjustments is more likely to be stranded. Due to the frequent transmission of positive news, the wholesale prices of refined oil products from domestic main units and local refineries have shown an upward trend, operators have increased their operations, and market transactions have improved. At present, the rate of change of domestic crude oil is at a negative low level, and there are still two working days before the price limit adjustment. If crude oil continues to rise, it will drive the rate of change from negative to positive and increase in the positive range. Therefore, it is not ruled out at 24:00 on January 14. The possibility of a slight increase in the retail price limit.
Hu Xue, a refined oil analyst at Zhongyu Information, told the Securities Daily yesterday that crude oil prices continued to rise sharply, and refined oil prices continued to rise with the east wind of crude oil. Yesterday, mainstream gasoline and diesel prices remained wide upward. Among them, the gasoline and diesel prices in North China and East China pushed up 50 yuan/ton to 200 yuan/ton. Recently, there have been purchases and stocking in the downstream, and the price began to decrease after the price rose.
As for the forecast of the future market, Hu Xue said that after the continuous rise of crude oil, the high level of shock consolidation, the rise may be temporarily eased, coupled with the decline in the acceptance of high-level resources by market operators, the strength of gasoline and diesel oil in the future may be narrowed. However, considering that the sales tasks of the main merchants in the region have been reached ahead of schedule at the end of the month, the delivery pressure is not great for the time being, and it is expected that the gasoline and diesel quotations of the merchants in the market will remain firm in the near future, mainly watching the future market. (From China Energy Network)